Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 24.421886 27.753010 31.393994 35.672629 40.567662 45.998565 52.488581
2025-01-12 18.651865 22.971222 28.102400 34.662467 42.848958 52.757339 65.704083
2025-01-19 15.136655 19.886359 25.920596 34.182186 45.252027 59.646508 79.904830
2025-01-26 13.279611 18.423986 25.341591 35.381650 49.679704 69.457529 99.145866
2025-02-02 12.039477 17.512166 25.243870 37.053046 54.795956 80.716956 121.923190
2025-02-09 10.755261 16.304180 24.490210 37.567905 58.169971 89.764815 142.631228
2025-02-16 9.419360 14.810048 23.073217 36.812372 59.391713 95.559004 158.936319
2025-02-23 8.353724 13.579566 21.875598 36.184820 60.635625 101.408830 175.989206
2025-03-02 7.493849 12.562950 20.875528 35.710776 61.999023 107.519180 194.209610
2025-03-09 6.845972 11.814595 20.215544 35.700326 64.103079 115.081182 215.983991
2025-03-16 6.267074 11.113248 19.545617 35.567475 65.928035 122.302099 238.050753
2025-03-23 5.976391 10.885036 19.671251 36.874647 70.544831 135.213466 272.945478
2025-03-30 5.543980 10.367756 19.247185 37.159301 73.362355 145.281664 304.181385
2025-04-06 5.000675 9.584809 18.246502 36.214009 73.642126 150.394750 325.956861
2025-04-13 4.579601 8.989487 17.535749 35.751642 74.830782 157.497022 353.130459
2025-04-20 4.391589 8.832880 17.665973 37.024850 79.832678 173.333921 402.540923
2025-04-27 4.265378 8.786212 18.009155 38.784175 86.117011 192.832190 463.746405
2025-05-04 4.033254 8.492845 17.807017 39.326708 89.734921 206.786793 513.811621
2025-05-11 3.707645 7.965389 17.050706 38.534890 90.156864 213.324745 546.280523
2025-05-18 3.425393 7.503355 16.387847 37.876809 90.806054 220.484160 581.545148
2025-05-25 3.182350 7.103917 15.822396 37.379592 91.779914 228.570084 620.654984
2025-06-01 2.996001 6.814510 15.476359 37.368674 93.967724 240.033622 671.083417
2025-06-08 2.816719 6.523505 15.096653 37.229315 95.806828 250.841555 721.525848